{"id":1010,"date":"2017-08-19T13:31:10","date_gmt":"2017-08-19T11:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/?p=1010"},"modified":"2017-08-19T13:31:10","modified_gmt":"2017-08-19T11:31:10","slug":"prawdopodobienstwo-powstania-zycia-materii-nieozy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/prawdopodobienstwo-powstania-zycia-materii-nieozy\/","title":{"rendered":"Prawdopodobie\u0144stwo powstania \u017cycia z materii\u00a0nieo\u017cywionej"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"posttitle\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"postcomments\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"entry\">\nTRUDNY TOTO LOTEK<b> Wyobra\u017amy sobie toto lotka, w kt\u00f3rym naprawd\u0119 trudno wygra\u0107: losowanych jest 6 kul z sze\u015bciu (a nie jednego) zestaw\u00f3w kul o numerach od 1 do 47. Opr\u00f3cz tego gracz musi okre\u015bli\u0107 kolejno\u015b\u0107 wylosowania danych numer\u00f3w \u2013 kolejno\u015b\u0107 nie jest dowolna. Trudno jest tu sobie w og\u00f3le wyobrazi\u0107 mo\u017cliwo\u015b\u0107 maksymalnej wygranej nawet gdyby wszyscy mieszka\u0144cy \u015bwiata grali w takiego \u201atotka\u2019 co tydzie\u0144. Ilo\u015b\u0107 mo\u017cliwych kombinacji w takim toto lotku wynosi\u0142aby 47<sup>6<\/sup>, czyli ponad 10<sup>9<\/sup>.<\/b><\/p>\n<table border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"8%\"><\/td>\n<td><b>prawdopodobie\u0144stwo 100% trafienia w \u201asuper-trudnym\u2019 toto lotku<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" width=\"90%\">\n<table border=\"1\" rules=\"rows\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1000000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">Wygl\u0105da to naprawd\u0119 bardzo \u201aniewinnie\u2019. A jednak jest to tak ma\u0142e prawdopodobie\u0144stwo, \u017ce w\u0142asne szanse na wygran\u0105 oceniliby\u015bmy na 0%\u2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/line.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/line.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"1\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"left\"><b>CO JEST MATEMATYCZNIE MO\u017bLIWE NA ZIEMI I W KOSMOSIE?<\/b><b> Emile Borel (1871-1956) by\u0142 wybitnym matematykiem francuskim i autorem prac z zakresu analizy matematycznej, rachunku prawdopodobie\u0144stwa oraz fizyki matematycznej. W swojej pracy <i>\u201eSingle Law of Chance\u201d<\/i> twierdzi\u0142 on, i\u017c je\u017celi szansa wyst\u0105pienia danego zdarzenia wynosi 1\/10<sup>15<\/sup> w\u00f3wczas jest to bez znaczenia na skal\u0119 ziemsk\u0105. Natomiast je\u017celi prawdopodobie\u0144stwo jest mniejsze ni\u017c 1\/10<sup>50<\/sup> w\u00f3wczas nie istnieje jakakolwiek szansa wydarzenia si\u0119 tego, nawet na skal\u0119 wszech\u015bwiata.<\/b><\/p>\n<table border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"8%\"><\/td>\n<td><b>zdarzenie nieprawdopodobne na skal\u0119 ziemsk\u0105<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" width=\"90%\">\n<table border=\"1\" rules=\"rows\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1000000000000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><b><br \/>\nzdarzenie nieprawdopodobne na skal\u0119 kosmiczn\u0105<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" width=\"90%\">\n<table border=\"1\" rules=\"rows\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">Kr\u00f3tko m\u00f3wi\u0105c ten s\u0142awny matematyk stwierdzi\u0142, i\u017c je\u017celi prawdopodobie\u0144stwo wyst\u0105pienia jakiego\u015b zdarzenia jest mniejsze ni\u017c 1 na 10<sup>50<\/sup> to powinni\u015bmy o tym zapomnie\u0107, je\u017celi chcemy naprawd\u0119 by\u0107 \u201apowa\u017cnymi\u2019 naukowcami\u2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/line.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/line.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"1\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"left\"><b>WSKAZA\u0106 KONKRETNY ATOM Z OBSZARU CA\u0141EGO WIDOCZNEGO WSZECH\u015aWIATA<\/b><b> Dane encyklopedyczne (\u201ePopularna Encyklopedia Powszechna\u201d, Fogra: Krak\u00f3w 1997 \u2013 has\u0142o \u201eWszech\u015bwiat\u201d) m\u00f3wi\u0105, i\u017c ca\u0142y dost\u0119pny poznaniu wszech\u015bwiat zawiera ok. 10<sup>80<\/sup> atom\u00f3w, czyli szansa wskazania jednego konkretnego atomu z dowolnego miejsca w kosmosie wynosi 1 na 10<sup>80<\/sup>:<\/b><\/p>\n<table border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"8%\"><\/td>\n<td><b>prawdopodobie\u0144stwo \u201anamierzenia\u2019 jednego konkretnego atomu w kosmosie<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" width=\"90%\">\n<table border=\"1\" rules=\"rows\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">Wystarczy jedynie pomy\u015ble\u0107 o tym, jak znikome s\u0105 szanse powodzenia takiego zadania, by stwierdzi\u0107 \u015bmia\u0142o: \u201aNIEMO\u017bLIWE\u2019\u2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/line.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/line.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"270\" height=\"1\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"left\"><b>OBLICZENIA HOYLA I WICKRAMASINGHE\u2019A<\/b><b> Proteiny sk\u0142adaj\u0105 si\u0119 z \u0142a\u0144cuch\u00f3w aminokwas\u00f3w, w kt\u00f3rych ka\u017cdy aminokwas znajduje si\u0119 na odpowiedniej pozycji. Ich liczba w proteinie wynosi od kilkudziesi\u0119ciu \u201asztuk\u2019 a\u017c do kilku tysi\u0119cy. Ka\u017cda kom\u00f3rka potrzebuje do funkcjonowania setek r\u00f3\u017cnego rodzaju wyspecjalizowanych protein. Sir Fred Hoyle i Chandra Wickramasinghe na podstawie niezale\u017cnych oblicze\u0144 ustalili, \u017ce prawdopodobie\u0144stwo samoistnego u\u0142o\u017cenia si\u0119 aminokwas\u00f3w tak, by utworzy\u0142y zaledwie pocz\u0105tek 2000 protein ameby wynosi 1\u00a0do\u00a010<sup>40000<\/sup>.<\/b><\/p>\n<table border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"8%\"><\/td>\n<td><b>prawdopodobie\u0144stwo przypadkowego po\u0142\u0105czenia si\u0119 aminokwas\u00f3w w proteiny ameby<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"10\" align=\"center\">\n<table border=\"1\" rules=\"rows\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td 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0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/img\/ball.gif?zoom=2 1.5x\" alt=\"\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">Tak oto wygl\u0105da 1 na 10<sup>40000<\/sup> \u2013 ka\u017cdy mo\u017ce przekona\u0107 si\u0119 na w\u0142asne oczy, \u017ce samoistne powstanie \u017cycia nie ma nic wsp\u00f3lnego z tzw. \u201adowodem naukowym\u2019\u2026<a href=\"http:\/\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/stworzenie\/prawdopodo.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/potop-exodus.w.interia.pl\/stworzenie\/prawdopodo.html<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TRUDNY TOTO LOTEK Wyobra\u017amy sobie toto lotka, w kt\u00f3rym naprawd\u0119 trudno wygra\u0107: losowanych jest 6 kul z sze\u015bciu (a nie jednego) zestaw\u00f3w kul o numerach od 1 do 47. Opr\u00f3cz tego gracz musi okre\u015bli\u0107 kolejno\u015b\u0107 wylosowania danych numer\u00f3w \u2013 kolejno\u015b\u0107&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1005],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ewolucjonizm-kontra-kreacjonizm"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1010\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beniuk.gr5.pl\/apologetyka2\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}